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Approach Factor

Ok, I lied when I said "no more Frankenstats".  Once the evil doctor has another brainstorm, it can be tough to make him stop digging in the graveyard after dark.

I've touched on this topic a couple of times but wanted to explore it in detail.  If a player rates well in GIR but not so well in Total Driving, it would seem that the player did a better than average job on her approach shots.  GIR includes performance at par-3s, of course, but we should still be able to use that number to help determine a player's ability on approach.  The tee shot at a par-3 is an approach of a slightly different kind, after all.

Star-divide

I lined up every player's ranking in both stats for 2008 and determined the positive or negative change.  Then I came up with a formula to level the field - otherwise, players who rated near the bottom of Total Driving would have the advantage of more room to move up than players who were much closer to the top of the TD chart.  In the interest of full disclosure, the formula is:  TD Rank minus GIR Rank plus 1, divided by TD Rank.  By default, the player who leads the Tour in GIR is going to lead in Approach Factor with a rating of 1.000 - hey, another stat for Ochoa to dominate! - but the rest of the results looked meaningful enough for me to share them with you.  Here are the Top 30 players for 2008:

1.  Lorena Ochoa                     1.000

2.  Paula Creamer                    .963

3.  Song-Hee Kim                     .927

4.  Helen Alfredsson                .908

5.  Anna Rawson                      .879

6.  Karrie Webb

7.  Annika Sorenstam

8.  Brandie Burton

9.  Seon Hwa Lee

10. Sarah Jane Kenyon          .826

11. Jamie Hullett

12. Cristie Kerr

13. Katherine Hull

14. Wendy Ward

15. Angela Stanford                 .650

16. Jeong Jang

17. Nicole Castrale

18. Morgan Pressel

19. Yani Tseng

20. Mikaela Parmlid                 .583

21. Na Yeon Choi

22. Hee-Won Han

23. Dorothy Delasin

24. Suzann Pettersen

25. Sandra Gal                         .459

26. Jane Park

27. Lorie Kane

28. Il Mi Chung

29. Angela Park

30. Candy Hannemann         .349

For example, Paula Creamer was 27th in Total Driving and 2nd in GIR.  She rates ahead of Brandie Burton, who was 120th in TD and 19th in GIR even though Brandie moved up 101 positions - the most of anybody on Tour.  The five players who rated the worst were:

157. Giulia Sergas                    -5.667

158. Sophie Giquel                   -5.909

159. Karen Stupples                 -9.000

160. Becky Lucidi                    -11.000

161. Hee Young Park               -13.000

All five were in the top 11 of Total Driving but lost ground to the field in hitting the green in regulation.  Lucidi fell from #2 to #25, Park from #3 to #43, Stupples from #5 to #51, Sergas from #6 to #41 and Giquel from #11 to #77.

I would prefer that Approach Factor be based on the player's raw number in the two stats rather than her rank, but I feel that this is a good start.  If you'll please excuse me now - I think I hear an unruly mob pounding on my castle door.

2008 Approach Factor spreadsheet

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yeah, and....

They’re asking for your spreadsheet!

by The Constructivist on Jan 15, 2009 3:51 PM PST reply actions  

Frankenstats

Your ultimate Frankenstat would encompass all facets of the golf game and should result in a list that mirrors the scoring average list. When you get to that point then “"IT’S ALIVE”" Oops, I guess I should not encourage the creation of a monster.

by tatkins on Jan 15, 2009 5:22 PM PST reply actions  

yikes

I just realized Karen Stupples ranks among the lowest on tour in this stat! Think how good she’d be if she were a better iron player. Scary.

by The Constructivist on Jan 15, 2009 11:14 PM PST reply actions  

Stupples isn't the only surprise low on the list

You’ll see in the spreadsheet that Jee Young Lee, Maria Hjorth and Ji Young Oh don’t rate well either.

by hound dog on Jan 16, 2009 4:06 AM PST reply actions  

veddy interesting

You know, given the birdies per round rates of several near the bottom of your list, I’m wondering if they’re short-siding themselves a lot, going for pins more often than maybe they should (or just not as sharp with the wedges and short irons as they oughtta be if they want to compete with Lorena).

by The Constructivist on Jan 16, 2009 11:23 AM PST reply actions  

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