2009 Rookie Class - The Greatest?
I have to admit that even before I settled on the method by which I would measure them, I had already figured that the 2009 rookie class must be the greatest in LPGA history. No other class had ever placed three players in my Top 10. The 2006 class, which was an easy choice for the greatest when I studied this subject three years ago, had only Rookie of the Year Seon Hwa Lee among the Top 10 (and she only ranked #9). 2009 just had to be the best ever, right?
To make the final determination, I used the same scoring chart as before to award points for each rookie in the Top 40 in a given season - 100 for a player ranked #1, 90 for #2, on down to one point for #40 - but with a twist. I decided to modify my scoring method in a way that Bill James did in one of his baseball studies. Realizing that I needed to give extra weight to seasons which had multiple rookies in the Top 40, the points for the second-best rookie would be increased x2, the third-best x3, and so on. Using that method, here are the greatest rookie classes dating back to 1962 (the first year a Rookie of the Year was honored):
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2006 2009 2008 1978 1988 1984 2005 1965 1999 1998 2007 1981 1996 2003 1977 1966 1972 1975 1979 1963 |
459 395 184 160 144 142 138 137 122 94 83 82 80 78 62 60 56 55 52 48 |
SHLee, Granada, Pressel, Miyazato, JYLee, Lang Shin, Nordqvist, Wie, VHurst, Hur Tseng, NYChoi, Ueda Lopez, King, White Neumann, Pepper, Davies Inkster, Figueras-Dotti Creamer, MLee Masters, Caponi, Cullen, Ehret MHKim, Fukushima SRPak, Moodie APark, IKKim, JYPak, JPark Sheehan, Okamoto Webb Ochoa, Pettersen Massey, Barrow Crocker, SMiller, Ferraris, Holbert, Barnett Bourassa, Hamlin Alcott, Stacy Daniel, Sherk Creed |
The players in bold joined the Tour the previous summer (via a second Q-School which is no longer in existence) but were still designated rookies during the season in which they are listed. For your reference, the point total formula for the 2006 players is 48+(30x2)+(24x3)+(22x4)+(19x5)+(16x6) and for the 2009 players is 90+(60x2)+(48x3)+(9x4)+(1x5). If the multipliers weren't used, ‘09 would beat out ‘06 by a count of 208 to 159. But by leaving them out, a deep season like 2007 (with four rookies in the Top 40 and one of them in the Top 10) gets bested by a single great player season like 1996 Karrie Webb. I feel that isn't the proper way to measure classes, as I definitely want to lean towards favoring the deeper ones.
By the way, I was dead wrong last month when I said that three or more rookies had ranked among my Top 40 only once over the LPGA's first 55 seasons (1950-2004). It actually happened five times in that span - 1965, 1966, 1978, 1983 and 1988. That gross mistake only slightly diminishes my original point - the current streak of four seasons with three-plus rookies in the Top 40 is a great indicator of how the Tour's talent base is growing faster than ever before. Note that six of the last seven seasons rank among the 14 best classes.
Basically 2006 retains its title of Greatest Class because its sixth-best rookie was the 25th-best player that year, an amazing feat when you think about it. No other season had six rookies in the Top 40, much less the Top 25. The fact that 2009 barely got within shouting distance of it despite its Big Three makes the Class of '06 even more admirable.
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Comments
woo-hoo!
I’m happy for the class with so many players I like, starting with Ai Miyazato and Seon Hwa Lee, but by no means ending there!
In my own final ranking of 2009, Mika Miyazato was #51. If she had, say, finished 40th, would that have tipped the balance in the ‘09ers’ favor? Too lazy to do the math myself right now!
by The Constructivist on Jan 11, 2010 9:58 PM PST reply actions
nope
She would have knocked out M.J. Hur (who was #40 on my list). Even if Hur was #39 and Mika was #40, 2009’s total would still have been over 50 points short.
wow, those '06ers are good!
I just realized you could extend your method to look at rookie classes over the course of their careers, not just in their rookie season! I’m curious to see if the ’06ers can maintain their lead on that list, given that their top 6 players have played long enough for each of them to go through a down period, and for many, even an outright slump….
by The Constructivist on Jan 12, 2010 7:10 AM PST up reply actions
oh, and...
…shouldn’t that be Okamoto there in 1981? Just sayin’!
by The Constructivist on Jan 12, 2010 1:10 AM PST reply actions

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