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2009 Rookie Class - The Greatest?

I have to admit that even before I settled on the method by which I would measure them, I had already figured that the 2009 rookie class must be the greatest in LPGA history.  No other class had ever placed three players in my Top 10.  The 2006 class, which was an easy choice for the greatest when I studied this subject three years ago, had only Rookie of the Year Seon Hwa Lee among the Top 10 (and she only ranked #9).  2009 just had to be the best ever, right?

To make the final determination, I used the same scoring chart as before to award points for each rookie in the Top 40 in a given season - 100 for a player ranked #1, 90 for #2, on down to one point for #40 - but with a twist.  I decided to modify my scoring method in a way that Bill James did in one of his baseball studies.  Realizing that I needed to give extra weight to seasons which had multiple rookies in the Top 40, the points for the second-best rookie would be increased x2, the third-best x3, and so on.  Using that method, here are the greatest rookie classes dating back to 1962 (the first year a Rookie of the Year was honored):

2006

2009

2008

1978

1988

1984

2005

1965

1999

1998

2007

1981

1996

2003

1977

1966

1972

1975

1979

1963

459

395

184

160

144

142

138

137

122

 94

 83

 82

 80

 78

 62

 60

 56

 55

 52

 48

SHLee, Granada, Pressel, Miyazato, JYLee, Lang

Shin, Nordqvist, Wie, VHurst, Hur

Tseng, NYChoi, Ueda

Lopez, King, White

Neumann, Pepper, Davies

Inkster, Figueras-Dotti

Creamer, MLee

Masters, Caponi, Cullen, Ehret

MHKim, Fukushima

SRPak, Moodie

APark, IKKim, JYPak, JPark

Sheehan, Okamoto

Webb

Ochoa, Pettersen

Massey, Barrow

Crocker, SMiller, Ferraris, Holbert, Barnett

Bourassa, Hamlin

Alcott, Stacy

Daniel, Sherk

Creed 

The players in bold joined the Tour the previous summer (via a second Q-School which is no longer in existence) but were still designated rookies during the season in which they are listed.  For your reference, the point total formula for the 2006 players is 48+(30x2)+(24x3)+(22x4)+(19x5)+(16x6) and for the 2009 players is 90+(60x2)+(48x3)+(9x4)+(1x5).  If the multipliers weren't used, ‘09 would beat out ‘06 by a count of 208 to 159.  But by leaving them out, a deep season like 2007 (with four rookies in the Top 40 and one of them in the Top 10) gets bested by a single great player season like 1996 Karrie Webb.  I feel that isn't the proper way to measure classes, as I definitely want to lean towards favoring the deeper ones.

By the way, I was dead wrong last month when I said that three or more rookies had ranked among my Top 40 only once over the LPGA's first 55 seasons (1950-2004).  It actually happened five times in that span - 1965, 1966, 1978, 1983 and 1988.  That gross mistake only slightly diminishes my original point - the current streak of four seasons with three-plus rookies in the Top 40 is a great indicator of how the Tour's talent base is growing faster than ever before.  Note that six of the last seven seasons rank among the 14 best classes.

Basically 2006 retains its title of Greatest Class because its sixth-best rookie was the 25th-best player that year, an amazing feat when you think about it.  No other season had six rookies in the Top 40, much less the Top 25.  The fact that 2009 barely got within shouting distance of it despite its Big Three makes the Class of '06 even more admirable.

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Greatest LPGA Rookie Seasons

Jan 2010 by hound dog - 4 comments

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woo-hoo!

I’m happy for the class with so many players I like, starting with Ai Miyazato and Seon Hwa Lee, but by no means ending there!

In my own final ranking of 2009, Mika Miyazato was #51. If she had, say, finished 40th, would that have tipped the balance in the ‘09ers’ favor? Too lazy to do the math myself right now!

by The Constructivist on Jan 11, 2010 9:58 PM PST reply actions  

nope

She would have knocked out M.J. Hur (who was #40 on my list). Even if Hur was #39 and Mika was #40, 2009’s total would still have been over 50 points short.

by hound dog on Jan 12, 2010 3:52 AM PST up reply actions  

wow, those '06ers are good!

I just realized you could extend your method to look at rookie classes over the course of their careers, not just in their rookie season! I’m curious to see if the ’06ers can maintain their lead on that list, given that their top 6 players have played long enough for each of them to go through a down period, and for many, even an outright slump….

by The Constructivist on Jan 12, 2010 7:10 AM PST up reply actions  

yes

It’s the same method (with modifications for different eras) that I used to to rank the All Time Greatest.

by hound dog on Jan 12, 2010 7:26 AM PST up reply actions  

oh, and...

…shouldn’t that be Okamoto there in 1981? Just sayin’!

by The Constructivist on Jan 12, 2010 1:10 AM PST reply actions  

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