Greatest Rookies - Were They or Weren't They?
It's a new year so it's natural to start talking about new faces on the LPGA Tour (The Constructivist is already doing just that). I'll begin with a discussion on previous rookies - specifically, the best ones ever. My longtime readers have probably wondered why I've never put together a Greatest Rookie Seasons list. I've started working on it a couple of times but had never figured out how to get past one hurdle. Over its history, the LPGA's definition of a rookie and the processes which allow new players to join the Tour have changed. Finding documentation of what those definitions and processes were (and the exact years each was used) has been next to impossible.
You might wonder why this would really be a problem, given that each player with an entry on the Players page at LPGA.com has their official rookie year listed. OK, check out Nancy Lopez' page - her rookie year was 1977. Now look at the list of LPGA Rookies of the Year. How can Lopez be Rookie of the Year in 1978 when 1977 was her official rookie season? The same thing happened with Patty Sheehan, Juli Inkster, Stephanie Farwig and Bonnie Lauer. It seems that from about 1975 to 1985, there were two Q-Schools per year (January and July) which enabled these players (and many others, I'm sure) to join the Tour in late summer and still be eligible for ROY the following season. After playing 6-8 events in their official rookie season, all five players had much better "second" seasons. Lopez in '78 had one of the greatest seasons any player has ever had.
Here's the hurdle - if Lopez was a 1977 rookie and she won 1978 ROY, which year do I evaluate for the Greatest Rookie Seasons list? Both choices are correct in one respect, incorrect in another. The simple solution is to choose the official rookie year for this study but that will automatically disqualify the season that people have been talking about for 30 years as "the greatest rookie season in LPGA history". Who would take my list seriously if I leave Lopez '78 off of it? Conversely - if I allow Lopez, Sheehan and Inkster to make this list with their ROY seasons, does that force me to consider the "second seasons" of other players who (because of low priority or other circumstances) played short schedules in their official rookie season?
My decision was to utilize the ROY seasons of these five players, plus the "second seasons" of Betsy King ('78) and Lori Garbacz ('80) since they were Top 20 players the year after they qualified at summer Q-School. Because those summer Q-Schools are the cause of this quandary, I chose to ignore the short rookie seasons of these seven for the purposes of ranking them against the other "true" rookies. Look at it this way - if you assume the summer Q-Schools were never held, these players would have most likely qualified the next January and would have been rookies in that following season anyway.
My Greatest Rookie Seasons post will be out tomorrow.
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I agree with your solution
It seems to me that back when there was more than one LPGA Q-School, the year a player had a fighting chance to win ROY should be the year that counts as her rookie year, even if she had a few starts the previous year.
This could come up again with the LPGA’s Futures Tour battlefield promotion. Let’s say someone wins the 1st 3 FT event in ’10 and plays the rest of the season on the LPGA. Is that her rookie year? I would argue no.
by The Constructivist on Jan 4, 2010 8:09 AM PST reply actions
still going to do that '06 vs. '09 rookie class post?
I’ve forgotten how you weight a rookie class’s peak performers and overall depth…. Would you ever use the bottom half of the class’s rookie years as a tiebreaker if, say, one rookie class had more in the top 20 than another, which had more overall in the top 50 (or whatever)? Does it matter in your system whether a class of 30 is winnowed down to 15 the following season while one of 20 stays relatively steady at 18 or something?
by The Constructivist on Jan 4, 2010 8:12 AM PST reply actions
that post is coming
When I did the ‘06 post, I awarded points for every rookie in my Top 40 for each year and used the resulting totals to subjectively pick the best classes. Not sure if I’ll use the same method this time. Might use the players’ actual point totals from the rankings or some other mumbo-jumbo…
Interesting problem
I think the golden rule is: were they members of the tour at the beginning of the season?
I think (from reading an interview with Lopez IIRC) that players who joined halfway through weren’t eligible for that year’s ROY race. So, although it seems a bit arbitrary, maybe you should just adopt the rule that you take the first year that a player was a member of the tour at the outset of the season. That would also cover the battlefield promotion issue, although that hasn’t yet been a problem, of course.
In the end, HD, if it’s only those few players who both joined halfway through in the late 1970s/early 1980s AND then had super seasons next year, we’ll forgive your list as it’s a relatively small wrinkle!
Did they have sponsor exemptions in those days? If not, that might explain why they had 2 q-schools. Wie, Creamer, Shin etc had a lot more experience when they showed up to their rookie seasons than JI, NL, PS etc would have done if not for the summer q-school.
It’ll be interesting to see whether Annika’s 1994 season gets in – although she was ROY she didn’t start winning everything in sight for some years.
re: Annika
Really? Interesting. So there are probably quite a few players who won ROY without having a ‘great’ rookie season (possibly even Ochoa – she didn’t win a tournament as a rookie), and probably a few more who had ‘great’ rookie seasons without winning it. Can’t wait!
I was looking at Annika's career bio page recently
And was surprised again how pedestrian her rookie year was. I thought it was roughly comparable to Lorena’s, but boy was I ever wrong. Easy link to hers and others’ career overview pages here:
http://mlyhlss.blogspot.com/2010/01/lpgas-top-rivalries-generation-gaps.html
by The Constructivist on Jan 4, 2010 11:21 AM PST up reply actions

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