Quest For The Card

With Navistar and CVS being the last two full-field events of the season, time is running out for many players on Tour to improve their status for 2011.  As I have done in past years, I've evaluated the chances for those players on the cusp.  This year I will focus on three races, adding the race for money list #125 to the ones for #80 and #100.  I do this because the group of players from #101-125 start the new season with decent chances to make a full-field event while the ones from #126 on down must succeed at Q-School to have any status at all.  All of these evaluations are contingent on the individual player entering and/or making the Navistar and CVS fields.  Looking at the current money list standings, let's begin with the Race For #80.

LOCKS:

I estimate that $70,000 will be enough for a player to secure a Top 80 spot.  #73 Karin Sjodin is over $5000 ahead of that, so I consider her and all those above to be Locks to make the Top 80 and earn Category-1 status.

RELAXED:

#74 Moira Dunn and #75 Sandra Gal are both already above the projected Top 80 amount so they shouldn't worry too much.  If either makes the Navistar cut, she becomes a Lock.

NERVOUS:

"Apprehensive" and "Nervous" kinda mean the same thing so I'm combining those two descriptions this year.  #76 Mina Harigae and #77 Mindy Kim are about $1000 short of the target while #78 Irene Cho is slightly more than $3000 short.  Each should at least move up to Relaxed with a made cut next week.  #79 Mi Hyun Kim, #80 Mariajo Uribe and #81 Becky Morgan are $6500-8000 short and need to either make both cuts or collect a Top 40 finish at one or the other.  By the way, the Navistar purse is 18% larger than that of CVS so it would behoove these players to have the better finish in Alabama.

SWEATING BULLETS:

#82 Lorie Kane, #83 Kris Tamulis and #84 Eunjung Yi each need $8500-10,500 to reach $70,000.  That equates to one Top 30 finish or a couple of Top 45s.  #85 Paige Mackenzie and #86 Jane Park are $14,000 short so they need a Top 25 or two Top 35s.  #87 Giulia Sergas needs over $16,000 so she might have to collect a Top 20 to get there.

BACK AGAINST THE WALL:

#88 Louise Stahle, #89 Soo-Yun Kang, #90 Sarah Kemp and #91 Michele Redman are $18,000-23,000 short.  A Top 15 or two Top 30s might be required for any of them to make it.  #92 Grace Park is injured and will probably get a medical extension for 2011.  #93 Diana D'Alessio and #94 Beatriz Recari need over $27,000, which translates to one Top 10 or two Top 25s.

NEED A MIRACLE:

#95 Rachel Hetherington has retired.  These players need $34,000-37,000 to reach the target - #96 Anja Monke, #97 Gloria Park, #98 Tamie Durdin, #99 Taylor Leon, #100 Iben Tinning, #101 Louise Friberg and #102 Leta Lindley.  One finish in the Top 7 or two in the Top 15 would be required to make that leap.  Everybody below that needs a Top 6 or better.

The Race For #100 shapes up like this:

LOCKS:

The target number here is $39,500.  #94 Recari is over $3000 above that, so she and everybody above are Locks to receive Category-11 status.

RELAXED:

Nobody.

NERVOUS:

#96 Monke through #102 Lindley are $3000-6500 short of the target number so they need to make both cuts or finish once near the Top 40 to be sure of making it.

SWEATING BULLETS:

#103 Ilmi Chung, #104 Julieta Granada, #105 Allison Hanna, #106 Pernilla Lindberg, #107 Stephanie Louden and #108 Sarah Lee are $8000-10,500 short of the target.  They need one Top 30 or two Top 45 finishes.

BACK AGAINST THE WALL:

#109 Silvia Cavalleri through #119 Misun Cho need $11,000-17,000, a Top 20 finish.

NEED A MIRACLE:

#120 Nicole Castrale is injured so #121 Aree Song and everyone down needs divine intervention.  Or at least a Top 15.

As for the Race For #125, I'll spell it out longhand.  The target number to qualify for Category-15 is $22,000.  #115 Yoo Kyeong "Lucy" Kim is over $2000 ahead of that so she is on the good side of the Lock border.  Basically anybody who can make either field could reach the 125 target by finishing in the Top 10 whether they have any money this year or not.  Not likely, I'll admit but possible.  The more realistic possibilities are these - those from #116 Mhairi McKay through #119 Misun Cho are in great shape, #121 Aree Song through #127 Anna Rawson need just a little more cash, and everybody on down needs to not only make the cut but come through with their best performance of the year (assuming they made the field in the first place). 

During each event, I'll give these "bubble" players a little extra attention and I will update the significant position changes after its conclusion.